Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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EXETER CITY vs. MORECAMBE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Exeter City vs. Morecambe.
Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Exeter City (ELO score: 3642) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Morecambe (ELO score: 3466) |
---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Away | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 APR 1933 | LGE | Mansfield Town (3466) |
2 - 0 | Tranmere Rovers (3642) |
17 |
A historical comparison of Exeter City's and Morecambe's ELO scores.
Exeter City | Morecambe | |
---|---|---|
Current ELO Score: | 3642 | 3466.2 |
Best ELO Score: | 3777.5 Saturday, January 28, 1933 |
3611.3 Tuesday, September 28, 2021 |
Worst ELO Score: | 3318.8 Saturday, August 12, 1995 |
3338.9 Tuesday, September 12, 1995 |
A summary of all historical matches between Exeter City and Morecambe.
Venue | Played | Exeter City wins |
Draws | Morecambe wins |
Exeter City goals |
Morecambe goals |
Exeter City SR% |
Morecambe SR% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 34 | 61.7% | 38.3% |
NEUTRAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
HOME | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 64.3% | 35.7% |
AWAY | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 MAY 2023 | LGE | Exeter City (3615) |
3 - 2 | Morecambe (3568) |
7.6 |
2 DEC 2022 | LGE | Morecambe (3534) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3629) |
1.7 |
26 JAN 2021 | LGE | Exeter City (3571) |
0 - 2 | Morecambe (3482) |
20.3 |
3 NOV 2020 | LGE | Morecambe (3426) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3563) |
2.7 |
24 AUG 2019 | LGE | Morecambe (3467) |
2 - 3 | Exeter City (3545) |
8.9 |
12 JAN 2019 | LGE | Exeter City (3562) |
0 - 0 | Morecambe (3406) |
5.1 |
11 AUG 2018 | LGE | Morecambe (3411) |
0 - 2 | Exeter City (3573) |
10 |
17 MAR 2018 | LGE | Morecambe (3438) |
2 - 1 | Exeter City (3550) |
12.1 |
30 SEP 2017 | LGE | Exeter City (3577) |
4 - 1 | Morecambe (3401) |
7.9 |
22 APR 2017 | LGE | Exeter City (3550) |
3 - 1 | Morecambe (3405) |
7.8 |
29 OCT 2016 | LGE | Morecambe (3421) |
0 - 3 | Exeter City (3477) |
16.5 |
30 APR 2016 | LGE | Exeter City (3542) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3389) |
5 |
12 JAN 2016 | LGE | Morecambe (3496) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3481) |
1.5 |
28 MAR 2015 | LGE | Exeter City (3502) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3455) |
2.5 |
26 OCT 2014 | LGE | Morecambe (3494) |
0 - 2 | Exeter City (3495) |
16.7 |
18 FEB 2014 | LGE | Exeter City (3484) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3458) |
1.9 |
24 AUG 2013 | LGE | Morecambe (3459) |
2 - 0 | Exeter City (3521) |
15.9 |
9 FEB 2013 | LGE | Morecambe (3514) |
0 - 3 | Exeter City (3538) |
18.5 |
18 AUG 2012 | LGE | Exeter City (3544) |
0 - 3 | Morecambe (3481) |
22.7 |
25 APR 2009 | LGE | Exeter City (3570) |
2 - 2 | Morecambe (3537) |
2.3 |
22 NOV 2008 | LGE | Morecambe (3454) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3508) |
0.2 |
20 MAY 2007 | CUP | Exeter City (3457) |
1 - 2 | Morecambe (3488) |
9.1 |
17 MAR 2007 | CONF | Exeter City (3435) |
1 - 0 | Morecambe (3463) |
9.3 |
14 OCT 2006 | CONF | Morecambe (3456) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3442) |
1.9 |
21 JAN 2006 | CONF | Morecambe (3493) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3509) |
1.1 |
20 AUG 2005 | CONF | Exeter City (3530) |
2 - 0 | Morecambe (3517) |
12 |
25 MAR 2005 | CONF | Morecambe (3473) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3490) |
1.2 |
14 AUG 2004 | CONF | Exeter City (3470) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3469) |
1.7 |
20 MAR 2004 | CONF | Morecambe (3442) |
0 - 3 | Exeter City (3461) |
19.5 |
15 NOV 2003 | CONF | Exeter City (3474) |
4 - 0 | Morecambe (3478) |
15.8 |